Sport Picks
Independiente vs Tomayapo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bolivia
Copa Pacena Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre 
Match Events
4'
4'
Gean
Assist: Cristaldo G.
10'
10'
Gean
32'
32'
Willie
Assist: Mercado A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Tomayapo haven't matched Independiente's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Independiente's way, sitting at 90%.
- Independiente have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Independiente, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Independiente Clean Sheet 15%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Tomayapo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2026 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:1
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:0
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independiente Compare
Top Goalscorer Gean
2 Goals Assists Leader Willie
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Tomayapo Compare
Top Goalscorer Cervantes A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independiente 84 / 100
Tomayapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independiente Tomayapo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Tomayapo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Independiente has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Independiente VS Tomayapo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home) 07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1 Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3 Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Independiente
1 : 0 GV San Jose
04 Oct
Independiente
0 : 3 Bolivar
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo
06 Sept
Independiente
0 : 4 Bolivar
Page 1 of 4
Tomayapo
(Away) 06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0 Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0 Tomayapo
30 Sept
Tomayapo
1 : 1 Nacional Potosi
27 Sept
Tomayapo
2 : 1 Real Oruro
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0 Tomayapo
03 Oct
Always Ready
4 : 0 Tomayapo
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1 Tomayapo
06 Sept
The Strongest
3 : 1 Tomayapo
03 Sept
Nacional Potosi
5 : 1 Tomayapo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Potosi | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:12 | 14 |
| 3 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:12 | 10 |
| 4 | Academia del Balompie | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:22 | 10 |
| 3 | Tomayapo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:20 | 10 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:13 | 14 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 3 | Guabira | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 4 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 13:17 | 7 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:6 | 17 |
| 2 | Independiente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 16 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11:17 | 6 |
| 4 | Blooming | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)
