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Independiente vs Tomayapo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
0 - 0
11:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Orozco Quiroga J. N.
33'
Rojas D.

AI Match Summary

Independiente host Tomayapo in the Division Profesional. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Independiente at 1.61 goals for, 1.61 against; Tomayapo at 0.9 for, 1.97 against. Head-to-head, Independiente have won 2 to Tomayapo's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.63 - 0.81) back Independiente to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Independiente
30%
Draws
23%
Tomayapo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Tomayapo haven't matched Independiente's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Independiente taking it.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Independiente Clean Sheet 20%
Tomayapo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Tomayapo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.61 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Copa Pacena
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:1
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Pacena
Tomayapo vs Independiente
3:0
Jul 12, 2026 Division Profesional
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1
Feb 8, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Independiente vs Tomayapo
5:2
Feb 5, 2026 Torneo Amistoso de Verano
Tomayapo vs Independiente
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 85 / 100
Tomayapo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Tomayapo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Independiente found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

Tomayapo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Independiente went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS Tomayapo
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
03 Nov
Aurora
3 : 2
Independiente
30 Oct
Real Potosi
1 : 1
Independiente
24 Oct
Independiente
4 : 2
Academia del Balompie
20 Oct
Independiente
4 : 0
Aurora
17 Oct
Blooming
0 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

Tomayapo

(Away)
02 Nov
Tomayapo
1 : 2
Blooming
25 Oct
Aurora
1 : 0
Tomayapo
17 Oct
Tomayapo
1 : 0
GV San Jose
09 Oct
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
0 : 0
Tomayapo
06 Oct
Real Oruro
4 : 0
Tomayapo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 24 18 3 3 60:24 57
2 Always Ready 24 16 6 2 58:17 54
3 The Strongest 24 14 6 4 46:28 48
4 Real Potosi 24 10 9 5 31:17 39
5 Oriente Petrolero 24 11 5 8 41:30 38
6 Aurora 24 8 11 5 35:31 35
7 Nacional Potosi 24 9 5 10 36:32 32
8 Blooming 24 7 10 7 33:26 31
9 Independiente 24 8 6 10 32:40 30
10 Guabira 24 8 6 10 35:49 30
11 Real Oruro 24 8 4 12 38:57 28
12 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 24 8 3 13 27:45 27
13 Club Universitario de Vinto 24 6 3 15 31:48 21
14 GV San Jose 24 4 8 12 29:44 20
15 Academia del Balompie 24 6 2 16 35:54 20
16 Tomayapo 24 5 5 14 17:42 20
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)