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India U23 vs Maldives U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U23 2024
Wed, Sep 6, 2023
VS
08:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U23 2024. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Maldives U23 have shipped 2.54 goals a game lately, while India U23 have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.17. Past meetings favor India U23 slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 1.56, favoring India U23. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
India U23
20%
Draws
10%
Maldives U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: India U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • India U23 have won more games recently than Maldives U23.
  • Win probability leans India U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • India U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor India U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
India U23 Clean Sheet 15%
Maldives U23 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India U23 Maldives U23
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.17 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U23
India U23 vs Maldives U23
0:0
Dec 3, 2006 Asian Games
India U23 vs Maldives U23
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India U23 84 / 100
Maldives U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India U23 Maldives U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick India U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives U23 has conceded goals in 85% of their last 26 outings.

India U23 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: India U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

India U23 VS Maldives U23
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

India U23

(Home)
31 Mar
India U23
0 : 1
Tajikistan U23
28 Mar
India U23
5 : 0
Bhutan U23
15 Nov
Thailand U23
4 : 0
India U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
Page 1 of 6

Maldives U23

(Away)
28 Oct
Maldives U23
0 : 3
Bahrain U23
25 Oct
Iraq U23
4 : 0
Maldives U23
07 Dec
Nepal U23
2 : 1
Maldives U23
05 Dec
Bhutan U23
2 : 1
Maldives U23
03 Dec
Bangladesh U23
1 : 1
Maldives U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Oman U23 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Syria U23 3 1 0 2 11:4 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 0:23 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Myanmar U23 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
4 Qatar U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Yemen U23 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Singapore U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Guam U23 3 0 1 2 2:12 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 2 1 0 7:0 7
2 Palestine U23 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
4 Pakistan U23 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 19:1 9
2 Iran U23 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Afghanistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 2 1 0 21:2 7
2 Kuwait U23 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates U23 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 China U23 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 India U23 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
4 Maldives U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand U23 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 6:1 6
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 1:9 3
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 2 1 1 0 8:2 4
2 Tajikistan U23 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Laos U23 2 0 0 2 2:9 0
4 North Korea U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U23 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
3 Lebanon U23 3 0 2 1 3:6 2
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U23 2 2 0 0 11:0 6
2 Turkmenistan U23 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
3 Chinese Taipei U23 2 0 0 2 0:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U23 2024 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams