Sport Picks

Stadium Background

India W vs Japan W

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Women HBF Park, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Yamamoto Y.
Assist: Miyazawa H.
13' Event
Hasegawa Y.
Assist: Yamamoto Y.
20' Event
Miyazawa H.
Assist: Hasegawa Y.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-11. This leg finished 0-11.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
India W
15%
Draws
24%
Japan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: India W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to India W lately — more wins on the board than Japan W.
  • Model gives India W a 61% chance of winning this.
  • India W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
India W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India W Japan W
Matches Played 36 31
Wins 20 19
Draws 1 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 3.19 2.68
Goals Conceded 1.31 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Asian Cup Women
India W vs Japan W
0:11
Oct 26, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Japan W vs India W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

India W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Japan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyazawa H.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Ueki R.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India W 83 / 100
Japan W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India W Japan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick India W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 9.00 goals as a typical output.

India W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

India W scored in 72% of their last 36 games.

Japan W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

India W VS Japan W
3.25 Goals Scored 3.88
2.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

India W

(Home)
06 Jun
Bangladesh W
1 : 3
India W
03 Jun
India W
1 : 0
Bhutan W
31 May
India W
3 : 0
Bangladesh W
25 May
Maldives W
0 : 11
India W
15 Apr
India W
3 : 2
Malawi W
Page 1 of 8

Japan W

(Away)
09 Jun
Japan W
0 : 1
South Africa W
06 Jun
Japan W
5 : 0
South Africa W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0
Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1
Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1
Japan W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Australia W 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
3 Philippines W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Iran W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 North Korea W 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Uzbekistan W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Vietnam W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 India W 3 0 0 3 2:16 0
Promotion - Asian Cup Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams