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Indian Navy vs Real Kashmir

India India

Durand Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Marandi V.
70' Event
Sessgnon Kanga F. W.
70' Event
Gopalan S.

AI Match Summary

Indian Navy in this Durand Cup 2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Indian Navy
15%
Draws
57%
Real Kashmir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Kashmir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Indian Navy haven't matched Real Kashmir's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Real Kashmir taking it.
  • Real Kashmir arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Indian Navy, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Indian Navy Clean Sheet 24%
Real Kashmir Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indian Navy Real Kashmir
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 4 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.91 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2025 Durand Cup
Indian Navy vs Real Kashmir
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indian Navy Compare

Top Goalscorer Marandi V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gopalan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Real Kashmir Compare

Top Goalscorer Sessgnon Kanga F. W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indian Navy 25 / 100
Real Kashmir 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indian Navy Real Kashmir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Kashmir Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Kashmir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Indian Navy scored in 52% of their last 23 outings.

Solid form: Indian Navy remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indian Navy VS Real Kashmir
1.2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.2 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 38%
60% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Indian Navy

(Home)
09 Aug
TRAU FC
2 : 1
Indian Navy
05 Aug
NEROCA
0 : 2
Indian Navy
30 Jul
Raengdai
1 : 0
Indian Navy
16 Aug
Lajong
2 : 1
Indian Navy
12 Aug
TRAU FC
1 : 2
Indian Navy
Page 1 of 5

Real Kashmir

(Away)
11 May
Aizawl FC
1 : 2
Real Kashmir
04 May
Real Kashmir
0 : 3
Namdhari
30 Apr
Real Kashmir
3 : 0
Gokulam
19 Apr
Real Kashmir
2 : 0
Sreenidi Deccan
12 Apr
Real Kashmir
6 : 2
Gokulam
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 East Bengal 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Namdhari 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 0 1 2 6:13 1
4 South United 3 0 1 2 3:10 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 Diamond Harbour 3 2 0 1 11:7 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Border Security Force 3 0 0 3 1:15 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamshedpur 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Army Red 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Nepal Army 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
4 1 Ladakh 3 0 1 2 3:7 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bodoland FC 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Minerva Punjab 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Indo-Tibetan Border Police 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Lajong 3 2 0 1 10:3 6
3 ATM FA 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Rangdajied United 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indian Navy 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Real Kashmir 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 NEROCA 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
4 TRAU FC 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Durand Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams