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Indonesia U16 vs Australia U16

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U16 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Australia U16 in this AFC Championship U16 2018 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Indonesia U16
15%
Draws
54%
Australia U16
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Australia U16 have won more games recently than Indonesia U16.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Australia U16 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia U16, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Australia U16 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Indonesia U16 Clean Sheet 19%
Australia U16 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U16 Australia U16
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 13 24
Draws 6 0
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 3.67 3.22
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia U16 vs Australia U16
3:5
Oct 1, 2018 AFC Championship U16
Indonesia U16 vs Australia U16
2:3
Sep 22, 2011 AFC Championship U16
Australia U16 vs Indonesia U16
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U16 31 / 100
Australia U16 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U16 Australia U16

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U16 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.67 goals when they meet.

Indonesia U16 scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Australia U16's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

Solid form: Indonesia U16 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U16 VS Australia U16
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U16

(Home)
21 Sept
Indonesia U16
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U16
18 Sept
Switzerland U16
2 : 0
Indonesia U16
03 Jul
Indonesia U16
5 : 0
Vietnam U16
01 Jul
Indonesia U16
3 : 5
Australia U16
22 Sept
Indonesia U16
0 : 0
China U16
Page 1 of 6

Australia U16

(Away)
01 Jun
China U16
5 : 2
Australia U16
30 May
Australia U16
2 : 1
Saudi Arabia U16
28 May
Vietnam U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
03 Jul
Thailand U16
1 : 2
Australia U16
01 Jul
Indonesia U16
3 : 5
Australia U16
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Japan U16 2
Oman U16 1
Indonesia U16 2
Australia U16 3
North Korea U16 1
Tajikistan U16 2
South Korea U16 1
India U16 0
Semi-finals
Japan U16 3
Australia U16 1
Tajikistan U16 2
South Korea U16 1
Final
Japan U16 1
Tajikistan U16 0