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Indonesia U19 vs Malaysia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Buffon A.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U19 in this ASEAN Championship U19 2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Indonesia U19
15%
Draws
28%
Malaysia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Malaysia U19 haven't matched Indonesia U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Indonesia U19 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Indonesia U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Malaysia U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Indonesia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Malaysia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U19 Malaysia U19
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.04 2.89
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Malaysia U19
1:0
Aug 17, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Malaysia U19
3:4
Jul 12, 2018 ASEAN Championship U19
Malaysia U19 vs Indonesia U19
2:1
Nov 6, 2017 AFC Championship U19
Malaysia U19 vs Indonesia U19
4:1
Sep 18, 2013 ASEAN Championship U19
Indonesia U19 vs Malaysia U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Buffon A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Malaysia U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U19 40 / 100
Malaysia U19 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U19 Malaysia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Indonesia U19's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Indonesia U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Malaysia U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U19 VS Malaysia U19
2.25 Goals Scored 3.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Cambodia U19
0 : 1
Indonesia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
07 Jun
Indonesia U19
2 : 1
Vietnam U19
04 Jun
Timor-Leste U19
0 : 3
Indonesia U19
01 Jun
Indonesia U19
3 : 0
Myanmar U19
Page 1 of 6

Malaysia U19

(Away)
08 Jun
Thailand U19
3 : 2
Malaysia U19
05 Jun
Brunei U19
0 : 4
Malaysia U19
02 Jun
Malaysia U19
3 : 0
Singapore U19
29 Jul
Australia U19
2 : 1
Malaysia U19
27 Jul
Indonesia U19
1 : 0
Malaysia U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Australia U19 0
Thailand U19 1
Indonesia U19 1
Malaysia U19 0
Final
Thailand U19 0
Indonesia U19 1
Australia U19 2
Malaysia U19 1