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Indonesia U20 vs Uzbekistan U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

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AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 Shenzhen Youth Football Training Base - Artificial grass, Shenzhen
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Match Events

21' Event
Urinboev M.
Assist: Khamidov S.
23' Event
Raven J.
Assist: Ama Ola M.
47' Event
Khaydarov A.
Assist: Tukhsanov D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Uzbekistan U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Indonesia U20
20%
Draws
52%
Uzbekistan U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uzbekistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Uzbekistan U20 come out ahead of Indonesia U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uzbekistan U20's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Uzbekistan U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan U20, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Uzbekistan U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Uzbekistan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U20 Uzbekistan U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
Indonesia U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
1:3
Jan 30, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
2:3
Mar 7, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U20
Uzbekistan U20 vs Indonesia U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Raven J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Uzbekistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Urinboev M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaydarov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U20 13 / 100
Uzbekistan U20 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U20 Uzbekistan U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uzbekistan U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U20 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Indonesia U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Uzbekistan U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U20 VS Uzbekistan U20
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.4 Goals Conceded 0.5
60% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Australia U20
0 : 2
Indonesia U20
03 Sept
Laos U20
0 : 3
Indonesia U20
31 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
Malaysia U20
22 Aug
Indonesia U20
1 : 2
Iraq U20
21 Aug
Indonesia U20
0 : 0
United Arab Emirates U20
Page 1 of 6

Uzbekistan U20

(Away)
02 Oct
Uzbekistan U20
5 : 1
Armenia U20
06 Sept
Uzbekistan U20
3 : 0
Syria U20
03 Sept
India U20
0 : 4
Uzbekistan U20
31 Aug
Uzbekistan U20
2 : 0
Bangladesh U20
25 Aug
Uzbekistan U20
1 : 0
South Korea U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 10:3 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Qatar U20 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
4 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 0 0 3 3:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
2 Iraq U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Jordan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 North Korea U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Uzbekistan U20 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Indonesia U20 3 0 1 2 1:6 1
4 Yemen U20 3 0 1 2 0:7 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Japan U20 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
3 Syria U20 3 0 2 1 5:6 2
4 Thailand U20 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2025 (Play Offs)