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Indonesia U20 vs Uzbekistan U20

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Komilov M.
32' Event
Rizky K.
40' Event
Kurbonov O.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia U20 play Uzbekistan U20 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indonesia U20 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Uzbekistan U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Indonesia U20 won 0, Uzbekistan U20 won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 16, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Indonesia U20 and 1.61 for Uzbekistan U20. This points to a Uzbekistan U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Indonesia U20
6%
Draws
90%
Uzbekistan U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uzbekistan U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uzbekistan U20 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Indonesia U20.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Uzbekistan U20.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Friendly International 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Indonesia U20 Clean Sheet 14%
Uzbekistan U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia U20 Uzbekistan U20
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 9
Losses 17 8
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 AFC Asian Cup U20
Indonesia U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
1:3
Jan 30, 2024 Friendly International
Indonesia U20 vs Uzbekistan U20
2:3
Mar 7, 2023 AFC Asian Cup U20
Uzbekistan U20 vs Indonesia U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizky K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Abdulmanan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Uzbekistan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Komilov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kurbonov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia U20 10 / 100
Uzbekistan U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia U20 Uzbekistan U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UZB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia U20 scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Uzbekistan U20 let in goals in 62% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Indonesia U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia U20 VS Uzbekistan U20
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%