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World

FIFA Series Gelora Bung Karno Madya Stadium

Bulgaria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Indonesia play Bulgaria in the FIFA Series. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indonesia averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.34 conceded. Bulgaria averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Indonesia won 0, Bulgaria won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 30, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.31 for Indonesia and 1.50 for Bulgaria. This points to a Indonesia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Indonesia

27%

Draws

34%

Bulgaria

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Indonesia picked up more points recently compared to Bulgaria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.31 vs 1.50 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 47%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33%

Indonesia Clean Sheet 16%

Bulgaria Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 57%

Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Indonesia	Bulgaria
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	6
Draws	6	10
Losses	12	14
Goals Scored	1.24	1.03
Goals Conceded	1.34	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 FIFA Series

Indonesia vs Bulgaria

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 38 / 100

Bulgaria 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Indonesia Bulgaria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indonesia or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +26%

3.23

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.7%

2.44

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indonesia attacking → ← attacking Bulgaria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Bulgaria let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Indonesia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bulgaria lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 28

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13