Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indonesia vs Cambodia

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship Pakansari Stadium, Cibinong
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Ogawa Y.
6' Event
Lee Baker M.
Assist: Haye T.
15' Event
Lee Baker M.
Assist: Reijnders E.

AI Match Summary

Indonesia in this ASEAN Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indonesia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Indonesia
15%
Draws
32%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Indonesia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Indonesia lately — more wins on the board than Cambodia.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Indonesia taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Indonesia have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Cambodia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.48 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Cambodia
5:1
Dec 23, 2022 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Cambodia
2:1
Dec 9, 2021 ASEAN Championship
Indonesia vs Cambodia
4:2
Oct 4, 2017 Friendly International
Indonesia vs Cambodia
3:1
Jun 8, 2017 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Indonesia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Baker M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Walsh S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chea S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 86 / 100
Cambodia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Indonesia scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Cambodia has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Indonesia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Cambodia
2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
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Cambodia

(Away)
07 Aug
Vietnam
3 : 1
Cambodia
03 Aug
Cambodia
3 : 0
Timor-Leste
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vietnam 4 3 1 0 13:1 10
2 Singapore 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Indonesia 4 2 1 1 9:5 7
4 Cambodia 4 1 0 3 6:10 3
5 Timor-Leste 4 0 0 4 0:15 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thailand 4 4 0 0 10:0 12
2 Malaysia 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
3 Myanmar 4 2 0 2 12:7 6
4 Philippines 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Laos 4 0 0 4 3:20 0
Promotion - ASEAN Championship (Play Offs)