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Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia

World World

World Championship 2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Tambakti H.
11' Event
Diks K.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Abu Al Shamat S.
Assist: Al Juwayr M.

AI Match Summary

Saudi Arabia in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saudi Arabia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Indonesia
35%
Draws
32%
Saudi Arabia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Saudi Arabia have won more games recently than Indonesia.
  • Win probability leans Indonesia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Indonesia Clean Sheet 68%
Saudi Arabia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indonesia Saudi Arabia
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2025 World Championship
Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia
2:3
Nov 19, 2024 World Championship
Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia
2:0
Sep 5, 2024 World Championship
Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia
1:1
Mar 5, 2014 Asian Cup
Saudi Arabia vs Indonesia
1:0
Mar 23, 2013 Asian Cup
Indonesia vs Saudi Arabia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indonesia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Saudi Arabia Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Al Shamat S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Al Buraikan F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indonesia 50 / 100
Saudi Arabia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indonesia Saudi Arabia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indonesia scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Saudi Arabia let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Indonesia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Indonesia VS Saudi Arabia
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indonesia

(Home)
28 Sept
Malaysia
0 : 0
Indonesia
25 Sept
Indonesia
2 : 0
Singapore
07 Aug
Singapore
1 : 1
Indonesia
03 Aug
Indonesia
0 : 3
Vietnam
31 Jul
Timor-Leste
0 : 3
Indonesia
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Saudi Arabia

(Away)
26 Sept
Oman
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia
23 Sept
Saudi Arabia
1 : 0
Kuwait
27 Jun
Cape Verde
0 : 0
Saudi Arabia
21 Jun
Spain
4 : 0
Saudi Arabia
15 Jun
Saudi Arabia
1 : 1
Uruguay
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 United Arab Emirates 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Oman 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fifth stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Iraq 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Indonesia 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Fifth stage)