Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Industria vs Louletano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Palma T.
21' Event
Ferreira L.
45' Event
Martelo N.

AI Match Summary

Louletano in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Industria
35%
Draws
49%
Louletano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Louletano have won more games recently than Industria.
  • Louletano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Louletano have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Industria Louletano
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 16
Draws 8 11
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.67 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.60 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Louletano
1:4
Nov 15, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Industria
1:0
Jan 25, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Industria
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Louletano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Baptista M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.46
Avg xA / game 0.3

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Palma T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Industria 10 / 100
Louletano 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Industria Louletano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Industria found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Louletano conceded in 48% of 33 recent games.

Industria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Industria VS Louletano
0.33 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Industria

(Home)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 6

Louletano

(Away)
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Louletano
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1
Louletano
23 May
Louletano
2 : 1
Oliveira Hospital
17 May
Louletano
1 : 1
Malveira
10 May
Louletano
1 : 2
Vitoria Sernache
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Louletano 26 14 8 4 36:15 50
2 Malveira 26 13 8 5 38:23 47
3 Alverca B 26 14 5 7 49:32 47
4 Juv. Evora 26 12 10 4 36:23 46
5 GD Alcochetense 26 11 8 7 33:22 41
6 Sintrense 26 11 7 8 30:25 40
7 Lagoa 26 11 6 9 44:34 39
8 O Elvas CAD 26 9 7 10 33:29 34
9 Serpa 26 9 7 10 28:34 34
10 Oriental 26 7 11 8 29:35 32
11 Moncarapachense 26 7 10 9 21:21 31
12 Portimonense B 26 6 4 16 19:42 22
13 Industria 26 2 8 16 20:45 14
14 Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 26 1 11 14 20:56 14
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)