Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Industria vs Moura AC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Industria Logo

Industria

2 - 3
FT
Moura AC Logo

Moura AC

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Reis Flor G.
40' Event
Pistelli M.
47' Event
Zequinha
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Industria and Moura AC finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moura AC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Industria
30%
Draws
47%
Moura AC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moura AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moura AC come out ahead of Industria on wins alone.
  • Moura AC are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Industria Clean Sheet 16%
Moura AC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Industria Moura AC
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 6
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.22 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Moura AC
2:3
Nov 3, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moura AC vs Industria
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Moura AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Reis Flor G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pistelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Industria 11 / 100
Moura AC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Industria Moura AC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moura AC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moura AC conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Industria scored in 64% of their last 36 games.

Moura AC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Industria VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Industria

(Home)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 8

Moura AC

(Away)
13 Apr
Moura AC
1 : 2
Amora
06 Apr
Lagoa
0 : 1
Moura AC
29 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 1
Estrela da Amadora B
16 Mar
Moura AC
1 : 2
Sintrense
09 Mar
Moura AC
0 : 1
Louletano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)