Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
28'
28'
Lindley C.
47'
47'
Neidlinger L.
54'
54'
Sub
Torres C. In: Santos P.
Out: Torres C.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Indy Eleven and Loudoun United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Loudoun United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Indy Eleven
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Indy Eleven come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Indy Eleven taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Loudoun United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 2.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
2:1
Aug 16, 2025 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
3:2
Oct 8, 2024 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Jul 13, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
1:1
Aug 26, 2023 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Loudoun United
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Loudoun United Compare
Top Goalscorer Aboukoura A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 58 / 100
Loudoun United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Loudoun United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Loudoun United conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Indy Eleven scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Indy Eleven remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Loudoun United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 18 Jul
Detroit City
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
15 Jul
Miami FC
2 : 0 Indy Eleven
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Charleston
20 Jun
Lexington
0 : 1 Indy Eleven
13 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Charleston
06 Jun
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Forward Madison
30 May
Indy Eleven
1 : 0 Rhode Island
23 May
Indy Eleven
3 : 1 Lexington
09 May
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Sporting Jax
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Loudoun United
(Away) 18 Jul
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Tampa Bay
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
03 Jul
Loudoun United
2 : 2 Sporting Jax
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
2 : 0 Loudoun United
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
21 Jun
Birmingham Legion
1 : 1 Loudoun United
10 Jun
Greenville Triumph
3 : 1 Loudoun United
31 May
Monterey Bay
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 25:13 | 32 |
| 2 | Charleston | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 31:22 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 19:18 | 23 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:26 | 21 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | 19 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 11 | Brooklyn FC | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17:26 | 13 |
| 12 | Loudoun United | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 18:29 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 17 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 23:44 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 25:18 | 28 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 21:19 | 25 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 4 | Colorado Springs | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:22 | 22 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 6 | Lexington | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 7 | Oakland Roots | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:24 | 21 |
| 8 | Sacramento Republic | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:24 | 20 |
| 10 | El Paso Locomotive | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 19 |
| 11 | Las Vegas Lights | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23:26 | 18 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:25 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
