Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
20'
20'
Hafferty J.
32'
32'
Williams R.
40'
40'
Pasher T.
Assist: Diarbian G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Indy Eleven lately — more wins on the board than Birmingham Legion.
- Indy Eleven are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 13%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven
2:2
Sep 21, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Jun 28, 2025 USL Cup
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Jun 5, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer Hafferty J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sing D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Pasher T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Williams R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 57 / 100
Birmingham Legion 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Birmingham Legion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Indy Eleven Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Indy Eleven scored in 77% of their last 31 games.
Birmingham Legion let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Indy Eleven stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Birmingham Legion
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
09 Aug
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 4
Birmingham Legion
(Away) 23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
29 Aug
Hartford Athletic
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
16 Aug
Colorado Springs
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
29 Jul
Louisville City
2 : 1 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
