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Stadium Background

Indy Eleven vs Charleston

USA USA

USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Kelly J.
35'
Quinn A.
36'
Blake J.

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indy Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Indy Eleven
39%
Draws
30%
Charleston
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Charleston lately — more wins on the board than Indy Eleven.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Charleston have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 11%
Charleston Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Charleston
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Indy Eleven
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
1:3
Aug 2, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Indy Eleven
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Top Goalscorer O'Brien J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rendon B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Charleston Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 30 / 100
Charleston 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Charleston

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Indy Eleven's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Charleston conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS Charleston
1.5 Goals Scored 2.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1363418:1421
6Miami FC1656520:2421
7Pittsburgh Riverhounds1462616:1720
8Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax16141121:427
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1473419:1524
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1453622:2018
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215