Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kelly J.
35'
35'
Quinn A.
36'
36'
Blake J.
AI Match Summary
Indy Eleven in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indy Eleven.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Charleston lately — more wins on the board than Indy Eleven.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Charleston have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 13%
Charleston Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Charleston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
2:0
Sep 6, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Indy Eleven
2:1
Apr 19, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
1:3
Aug 2, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Indy Eleven
5:0
Apr 13, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Charleston
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Brien J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rendon B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Charleston Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 31 / 100
Charleston 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Charleston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Indy Eleven's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Defensive concern: Charleston conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Charleston
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2 Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1 Indy Eleven
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
09 Aug
Indy Eleven
1 : 1 Hartford Athletic
Page 1 of 3
Charleston
(Away) 19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
15 Aug
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
3 : 1 Charleston
08 Aug
Loudoun United
0 : 1 Charleston
26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 25 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 45:23 | 51 |
| 2 | Charleston | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 50:31 | 43 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 40 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 28:26 | 38 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 27:24 | 38 |
| 6 | Louisville City | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 41:40 | 36 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:29 | 33 |
| 8 | Rhode Island | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 35:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Miami FC | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 36:42 | 23 |
| 11 | Loudoun United | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 27:42 | 20 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:49 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 30:65 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 37:27 | 43 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 40:37 | 38 |
| 4 | Lexington | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 43:30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 37 |
| 6 | Sacramento Republic | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 37 |
| 7 | San Antonio FC | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 29:28 | 37 |
| 8 | Orange County SC | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 34:40 | 36 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 32:35 | 33 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 35:35 | 33 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 30:35 | 30 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25:43 | 18 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
