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Indy Eleven vs Chicago Fire II

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven play Chicago Fire II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indy Eleven averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. Chicago Fire II averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Indy Eleven won 3, Chicago Fire II won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 13, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Indy Eleven and 1.31 for Chicago Fire II. This points to a Indy Eleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Indy Eleven
16%
Draws
38%
Chicago Fire II
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Indy Eleven picked up more points recently compared to Chicago Fire II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 18%
Chicago Fire II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Chicago Fire II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.36 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Club Friendly
Indy Eleven vs Chicago Fire II
0:0
Feb 15, 2025 Club Friendly
Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven
0:3
Apr 18, 2024 US Open Cup
Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven
0:1
Feb 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Chicago Fire II vs Indy Eleven
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 45 / 100
Chicago Fire II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Chicago Fire II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indy Eleven or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indy Eleven attacking → ← attacking Chicago Fire II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Chicago Fire II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chicago Fire II lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 46
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75