Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
31'
31'
Rendon B.
Assist: Quinn A.
46'
46'
Sub
Dayes B. In: Perez E.
Out: Dayes B.
58'
58'
Adams K.
Assist: Davila T.
AI Match Summary
Indy Eleven in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indy Eleven.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Louisville City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Louisville City lately — more wins on the board than Indy Eleven.
- Model gives Louisville City a 57% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 17%
Louisville City Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Louisville City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City
1:3
Oct 5, 2024 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Louisville City
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 USL Championship
Louisville City vs Indy Eleven
5:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Top Goalscorer Rendon B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Blake J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Louisville City Compare
Top Goalscorer Adams K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 28 / 100
Louisville City 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Louisville City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Louisville City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.20 goals.
Indy Eleven scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Louisville City has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Louisville City
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
Louisville City
(Away) 04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
19 Sept
Louisville City
2 : 1 Loudoun United
12 Sept
Louisville City
1 : 2 El Paso Locomotive
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1 Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2 Louisville City
09 Sept
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Louisville City
05 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 1 Louisville City
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 49:26 | 55 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 34:20 | 50 |
| 3 | Charleston | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 52:33 | 46 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 30:28 | 41 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 45:42 | 40 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 30:28 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 39:30 | 38 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 38:47 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34:36 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 34:44 | 27 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 49:33 | 44 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 32:25 | 43 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
