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Indy Eleven vs Miami FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Indy Eleven Logo

Indy Eleven

0 - 2
FT
Miami FC Logo

Miami FC

Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Milesi A.
16'
Quinn A.
17' Event
Da Costa R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Miami FC in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Miami FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Indy Eleven
20%
Draws
61%
Miami FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Miami FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Miami FC haven't matched Indy Eleven's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 15%
Miami FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Miami FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
0:2
Jul 15, 2026 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
3:2
Apr 16, 2025 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs Miami FC
1:0
Mar 15, 2025 USL Championship
Miami FC vs Indy Eleven
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Miami FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Costa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tunbridge M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 31 / 100
Miami FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Miami FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Miami FC conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Indy Eleven has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS Miami FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Indy Eleven

(Home)
03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1
Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0
Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2
Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
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Miami FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Tampa Bay
1 : 2
Miami FC
30 Sept
Miami FC
4 : 1
Sporting Jax
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2
Miami FC
19 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 2
Miami FC
12 Sept
Brooklyn FC
1 : 1
Miami FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 27 15 7 5 46:25 52
2 Detroit City 27 13 8 6 33:20 47
3 Charleston 26 14 4 8 52:31 46
4 Hartford Athletic 26 9 12 5 29:26 39
5 Rhode Island 26 11 5 10 39:29 38
6 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 27 11 5 11 28:27 38
7 Louisville City 26 10 7 9 43:42 37
8 Miami FC 28 9 9 10 38:45 36
9 Indy Eleven 27 9 7 11 33:33 34
10 Loudoun United 26 4 12 10 32:44 24
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 27 14 5 8 46:35 47
2 New Mexico 27 13 7 7 41:32 46
3 Sacramento Republic 27 11 11 5 37:25 44
4 Lexington 27 13 4 10 49:33 43
5 FC Tulsa 27 11 9 7 32:25 42
6 Colorado Springs 27 11 7 9 40:37 40
7 Orange County SC 27 10 9 8 36:42 39
8 San Antonio FC 27 9 11 7 29:29 38
9 Las Vegas Lights 27 10 6 11 35:38 36
10 Oakland Roots 27 8 10 9 33:35 34
11 Phoenix Rising 27 8 9 10 36:40 33
12 Monterey Bay 27 5 6 16 29:47 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)