Sport Picks
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium, Indianapolis, IN 
Match Events
26'
26'
Sub
Valot F. In: Gibson T.
Out: Valot F.
42'
42'
Garcia D.
54'
54'
Sub
Lindley C. In: Omar M.
Out: Lindley C.
AI Match Summary
Oakland Roots in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Oakland Roots.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oakland Roots
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Oakland Roots haven't matched Indy Eleven's recent run of results.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Oakland Roots taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this USL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Oakland Roots have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
Oakland Roots Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Indy Eleven | Oakland Roots |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 USL Championship
Oakland Roots vs Indy Eleven
2:1
Apr 8, 2023 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Oakland Roots
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Indy Eleven Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Oakland Roots Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Indy Eleven 28 / 100
Oakland Roots 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Indy Eleven Oakland Roots
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oakland Roots Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Indy Eleven scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Oakland Roots let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Indy Eleven remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Indy Eleven VS Oakland Roots
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Indy Eleven
(Home) 03 Oct
Loudoun United
1 : 1 Indy Eleven
30 Sept
Rhode Island
1 : 0 Indy Eleven
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 2 Miami FC
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
22 Aug
Indy Eleven
2 : 1 Louisville City
Page 1 of 4
Oakland Roots
(Away) 04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
27 Sept
Oakland Roots
3 : 0 Phoenix Rising
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
13 Sept
Oakland Roots
1 : 4 Lexington
30 Aug
Oakland Roots
1 : 1 Orange County SC
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
23 Aug
San Antonio FC
0 : 1 Oakland Roots
09 Aug
El Paso Locomotive
1 : 0 Oakland Roots
06 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 0 Oakland Roots
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
