Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds

USA USA

USL Championship Michael A. Carroll Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Blake J.
(Penalty)
35'
Souza V.
38'
Rendon B.

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven host Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USL Championship. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Indy Eleven have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 1 scored and 0.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Pittsburgh Riverhounds slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 0.81) point toward Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Indy Eleven
39%
Draws
31%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Indy Eleven.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL Championship provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 68%
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 18
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1:1
Feb 6, 2026 Club Friendly
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Indy Eleven
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 USL Championship
Indy Eleven vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Pittsburgh Riverhounds Compare

Top Goalscorer Goldthorp E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 41 / 100
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven Pittsburgh Riverhounds

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay1594224:1231
2Charleston1582530:2126
3Detroit City1473421:1424
4Louisville City1573525:2224
5Indy Eleven1263318:1221
6Pittsburgh Riverhounds1362515:1520
7Hartford Athletic1447312:1319
8Miami FC1546518:2418
9Rhode Island1344523:1816
10Birmingham Legion1528516:1914
11Brooklyn FC1433815:2412
12Loudoun United1418517:2811
13Sporting Jax15041119:414
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Orange County SC1677225:1828
2San Antonio FC1567220:1725
3New Mexico1363415:1421
4Oakland Roots1556424:2221
5Colorado Springs1454524:2219
6Sacramento Republic1354415:1319
7El Paso Locomotive1454525:2419
8FC Tulsa1354417:1619
9Lexington1353521:1618
10Phoenix Rising1545620:2217
11Las Vegas Lights1443721:2515
12Monterey Bay1543814:2215