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Indy Eleven vs San Antonio Scorpions

USA USA

NASL 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven play San Antonio Scorpions in the NASL 2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Indy Eleven averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. San Antonio Scorpions averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Indy Eleven won 2, San Antonio Scorpions won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 10, 2015 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Indy Eleven and 1.19 for San Antonio Scorpions. This points to a Indy Eleven double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Indy Eleven
18%
Draws
35%
San Antonio Scorpions
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Indy Eleven picked up more points recently compared to San Antonio Scorpions.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
San Antonio Scorpions Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven San Antonio Scorpions
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.7

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2015 NASL
Indy Eleven vs San Antonio Scorpions
1:2
Sep 13, 2015 NASL
San Antonio Scorpions vs Indy Eleven
2:0
Apr 19, 2015 NASL
San Antonio Scorpions vs Indy Eleven
1:2
Oct 18, 2014 NASL
Indy Eleven vs San Antonio Scorpions
1:0
Aug 10, 2014 NASL
San Antonio Scorpions vs Indy Eleven
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Indy Eleven Compare

Top Goalscorer Mares D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

San Antonio Scorpions Compare

Top Goalscorer Gentile G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tyrpak K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 46 / 100
San Antonio Scorpions 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven San Antonio Scorpions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Indy Eleven or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Indy Eleven attacking → ← attacking San Antonio Scorpions

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven scored in 71% of their last 41 games.

San Antonio Scorpions let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Indy Eleven went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Antonio Scorpions lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 31
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ottawa Fury20136137:1545
2Minnesota United20116339:2639
3New York Cosmos20106431:2136
4Fort Lauderdale Strikers2086637:2730
5Edmonton2075825:2426
6Atlanta SC2067724:2725
7North Carolina FC20631129:3921
8Indy Eleven20551023:3620
9Tampa Bay20551018:2820
10San Antonio Scorpions2047930:3719
11Jacksonville Armada20541118:3119