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Indy Eleven vs St. Louis City 2

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indy Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Indy Eleven
6%
Draws
4%
St. Louis City 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Louis City 2 have won more games recently than Indy Eleven.
  • Indy Eleven are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 20%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven St. Louis City 2
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 17
Draws 6 0
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Indy Eleven vs St. Louis City 2
3:1
Apr 5, 2022 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs St. Louis City 2
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 85 / 100
St. Louis City 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven St. Louis City 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

St. Louis City 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Indy Eleven has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS St. Louis City 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%