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Indy Eleven vs St. Louis City 2

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Indy Eleven in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Indy Eleven.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Indy Eleven
20%
Draws
30%
St. Louis City 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indy Eleven

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Louis City 2 have won more games recently than Indy Eleven.
  • Indy Eleven are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Indy Eleven Clean Sheet 16%
St. Louis City 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Indy Eleven St. Louis City 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 0
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Indy Eleven vs St. Louis City 2
3:1
Apr 5, 2022 US Open Cup
Indy Eleven vs St. Louis City 2
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Indy Eleven 66 / 100
St. Louis City 2 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Indy Eleven St. Louis City 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indy Eleven Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Indy Eleven found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

St. Louis City 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Indy Eleven has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Indy Eleven VS St. Louis City 2
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Indy Eleven

(Home)
20 Sept
Indy Eleven
0 : 1
Oakland Roots
15 Sept
Indy Eleven
4 : 0
Brooklyn FC
12 Sept
New Mexico
2 : 2
Indy Eleven
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2
Birmingham Legion
30 Aug
Phoenix Rising
2 : 1
Indy Eleven
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St. Louis City 2

(Away)
20 Sept
St. Louis City 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
06 Sept
Sporting Kansas City II
1 : 2
St. Louis City 2
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
23 Aug
St. Louis City 2
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
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