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Inegol Kafkas vs Aliaga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Cavlan C.
Assist: Sarikaya M.
8' Event
Gulen A.
Assist: Gelen P.
14' Event
Calis T.
Assist: Toroman O.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Lig White Group game between Inegol Kafkas and Aliaga finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inegol Kafkas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Inegol Kafkas
15%
Draws
42%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inegol Kafkas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Inegol Kafkas have managed 1.79 goals a game lately — Aliaga are scoring more at 2.03.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular 2. Lig White Group form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 16%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inegol Kafkas Aliaga
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 20 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.79 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Inegol Kafkas vs Aliaga
3:2
Sep 3, 2025 Turkish Cup
Aliaga vs Inegol Kafkas
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Inegol Kafkas vs Aliaga
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Aliaga vs Inegol Kafkas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gulen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calis T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavlan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inegol Kafkas 31 / 100
Aliaga 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inegol Kafkas Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inegol Kafkas's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aliaga has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Inegol Kafkas stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inegol Kafkas VS Aliaga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inegol Kafkas

(Home)
01 Nov
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 2
Aliaga
27 Oct
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 4
K. Istklalspor
24 Oct
Adanademirspor
0 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
18 Oct
Inegol Kafkas
2 : 1
Sebat Spor Kulubu
10 Oct
Ankaraspor
1 : 2
Inegol Kafkas
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
01 Nov
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 2
Aliaga
27 Oct
Pazarspor
0 : 1
Aliaga
24 Oct
Aliaga
2 : 1
Aksaray Bld.
18 Oct
Soma Spor
1 : 2
Aliaga
10 Oct
Aliaga
1 : 0
Menemenspor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Elazigspor 9 7 1 1 27:7 22
2 Musspor 9 7 1 1 29:13 22
3 Guzide Gebzespor 9 6 3 0 17:8 21
4 Aliaga 9 7 0 2 19:14 21
5 Inegol Kafkas 9 6 1 2 17:11 19
6 Sanliurfaspor 9 5 3 1 20:11 18
7 Corluspor 9 5 2 2 17:9 17
8 Erbaaspor 9 4 1 4 19:15 13
9 Menemenspor 9 4 1 4 11:10 13
10 Isparta 32 Spor 9 3 2 4 16:20 11
11 Aksaray Bld. 9 2 3 4 15:14 9
12 Ankaraspor 9 3 0 6 11:16 9
13 Sebat Spor Kulubu 8 2 2 4 14:15 8
14 Soma Spor 8 2 1 5 10:18 7
15 Kastamonuspor 9 2 1 6 7:26 4
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 9 0 0 9 4:21 -3
17 Hatayspor 9 1 1 7 4:17 -5
18 Adanademirspor 9 2 1 6 7:19 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)