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Inegol Kafkas vs Arguvan

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inegol Kafkas play Arguvan in the 3. Lig Group 1 2023/2024. Inegol Kafkas are favorites here. Recently, Inegol Kafkas averaged 1.75 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Arguvan averaged 0.83 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Inegol Kafkas won 2, Arguvan won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2024 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Inegol Kafkas and 0.69 for Arguvan. This points to a Inegol Kafkas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Inegol Kafkas
18%
Draws
13%
Arguvan
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Inegol Kafkas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Inegol Kafkas picked up more points recently compared to Arguvan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 28%
Arguvan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inegol Kafkas Arguvan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 5
Draws 8 3
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.75 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2024 3. Lig Group 1
Arguvan vs Inegol Kafkas
1:5
Dec 2, 2023 3. Lig Group 1
Inegol Kafkas vs Arguvan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Kocal Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Akyildiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Arguvan Compare

Top Goalscorer Mirkovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inegol Kafkas 68 / 100
Arguvan 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inegol Kafkas Arguvan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inegol Kafkas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Inegol Kafkas & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.64
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inegol Kafkas attacking → ← attacking Arguvan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inegol Kafkas scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Arguvan let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Inegol Kafkas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Arguvan lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 18
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kepez Bld.28224267:1870
2Aliaga28199060:1866
3Ayvalikgucu28157640:2552
452 Orduspor28147740:2849
5Inegol Kafkas28138737:3047
6Edirnespor Genclik281351045:2844
7Mardin 1969281251140:3441
8Kucukcekmece281081041:3138
9Karabuk Idmanyurdu281051327:4435
10Hopaspor28971233:2934
11Erciyes 38281041434:4534
12Kirikkale FK28851531:4229
13Gumushanespor284101425:4922
14Arguvan28342121:5713
15Tarsus28242220:8310