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Inegol Kafkas vs Kastamonuspor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

2. Lig White Group
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Dogrukiran B.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Caliskan M.
71' Event
Dogrukiran B.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Inegol Kafkas in this 2. Lig White Group matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inegol Kafkas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Inegol Kafkas
15%
Draws
39%
Kastamonuspor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inegol Kafkas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Inegol Kafkas have won more games recently than Kastamonuspor.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Inegol Kafkas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 20%
Kastamonuspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inegol Kafkas Kastamonuspor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1.79 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 2. Lig White Group
Inegol Kafkas vs Kastamonuspor
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogrukiran B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Kastamonuspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Caliskan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inegol Kafkas 85 / 100
Kastamonuspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inegol Kafkas Kastamonuspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inegol Kafkas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inegol Kafkas scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Kastamonuspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Inegol Kafkas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inegol Kafkas VS Kastamonuspor
2 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inegol Kafkas

(Home)
03 Oct
Inegol Kafkas
0 : 1
Musspor
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1
Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Inegol Kafkas
12 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
1 : 3
Soma Spor
06 Sept
Menemenspor
1 : 3
Inegol Kafkas
Page 1 of 6

Kastamonuspor

(Away)
04 Oct
Kastamonuspor
2 : 1
Arnavutkoy Bl.
26 Sept
Inegol Kafkas
4 : 1
Kastamonuspor
20 Sept
Kastamonuspor
1 : 0
Hatayspor
13 Sept
Aksaray Bld.
3 : 0
Kastamonuspor
06 Sept
Kastamonuspor
0 : 5
Corluspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Musspor 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Aliaga 6 5 0 1 13:9 15
3 Elazigspor 5 3 1 1 12:4 10
4 Corluspor 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
5 Inegol Kafkas 6 3 1 2 11:8 10
6 Isparta 32 Spor 6 3 1 2 11:10 10
7 Guzide Gebzespor 5 2 3 0 7:4 9
8 Sanliurfaspor 6 2 3 1 10:9 9
9 Menemenspor 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Erbaaspor 5 2 1 2 13:12 7
11 Soma Spor 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
12 Aksaray Bld. 6 1 3 2 10:9 6
13 Ankaraspor 6 2 0 4 4:8 6
14 Kastamonuspor 6 2 0 4 4:14 3
15 Sebat Spor Kulubu 5 0 2 3 7:11 2
16 Arnavutkoy Bl. 6 0 0 6 4:14 0
17 Hatayspor 5 1 1 3 2:4 -2
18 Adanademirspor 5 1 1 3 3:9 -44
Promotion - 1. Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Lig Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)