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Ingenieros vs Chaco FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-1. This leg finished 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Ingenieros
15%
Draws
76%
Chaco FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chaco FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Chaco FC average 2.17 goals a game right now, well clear of Ingenieros's 1.25.
  • Model gives Chaco FC a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Ingenieros, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Ingenieros Clean Sheet 10%
Chaco FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingenieros Chaco FC
Matches Played 12 12
Wins 3 3
Draws 1 3
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.25 2.17
Goals Conceded 2.42 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Chaco FC vs Ingenieros
6:1
Aug 24, 2026 Copa Simon Bolivar
Ingenieros vs Chaco FC
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingenieros 10 / 100
Chaco FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingenieros Chaco FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chaco FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chaco FC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 12 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Ingenieros's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Ingenieros went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingenieros VS Chaco FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingenieros

(Home)
27 Sept
Chaco FC
6 : 1
Ingenieros
21 Sept
Ingenieros
0 : 1
26 de Febrero
14 Sept
Ingenieros
2 : 2
Hiska Nacional
04 Sept
26 de Febrero
4 : 1
Ingenieros
31 Aug
Hiska Nacional
3 : 2
Ingenieros
Page 1 of 3

Chaco FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Chaco FC
6 : 1
Ingenieros
20 Sept
Chaco FC
5 : 1
Hiska Nacional
11 Sept
26 de Febrero
3 : 2
Chaco FC
07 Sept
Hiska Nacional
4 : 2
Chaco FC
29 Aug
Chaco FC
3 : 2
26 de Febrero
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Em Huanuni 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
2 Fatic 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
3 Atletico Sucre 6 3 0 3 15:8 9
4 Libertad FC 6 0 1 5 0:22 1
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 26 de Febrero 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Chaco FC 6 3 0 3 19:15 9
3 Hiska Nacional 6 2 1 3 10:15 7
4 Ingenieros 6 1 1 4 10:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente CBBA 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Mineros Potosi 6 3 1 2 20:8 10
3 Wilstermann Cooperativas 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
4 Atletico Juniors 6 0 0 6 5:26 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virginia 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Tiquipaya 6 3 2 1 15:4 11
3 San Martin de Yacuiba 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
4 Universitario Beni 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Juan FC 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Deportivo Tigres 6 2 2 2 9:5 8
3 Universitario de Sucre 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Universitario de Tarija 6 1 1 4 5:17 4
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1 de Mayo 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Central Union 6 3 0 3 9:7 9
4 CD Guadalajara 6 0 2 4 5:11 2
Promotion - Copa Simon Bolivar (Play Offs)