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Ingolstadt II vs Furth II

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt II play Furth II in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ingolstadt II averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Furth II averaged 1.72 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Ingolstadt II won 2, Furth II won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 17, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Ingolstadt II and 1.89 for Furth II. This points to a Ingolstadt II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ingolstadt II
17%
Draws
37%
Furth II
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Ingolstadt II picked up more points recently compared to Furth II.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 1.89 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66%
Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%
Furth II Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt II Furth II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.57 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.14 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt II vs Furth II
3:2
Feb 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Furth II vs Ingolstadt II
3:2
Jul 3, 2024 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt II vs Furth II
3:2
May 18, 2019 Regionalliga Bayern
Furth II vs Ingolstadt II
1:0
Oct 27, 2018 Regionalliga Bayern
Ingolstadt II vs Furth II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozturk B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sekulovic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79

Furth II Compare

Top Goalscorer Adlung D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Torres L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt II 43 / 100
Furth II 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt II Furth II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ingolstadt II or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.49
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ingolstadt II attacking → ← attacking Furth II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt II scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Furth II let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ingolstadt II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Furth II lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

47 Points in last 5 38
1.57 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.14 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38