Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026

TSV Kornburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt II play TSV Kornburg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ingolstadt II averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. TSV Kornburg averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Ingolstadt II won 3, TSV Kornburg won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Ingolstadt II and 2.06 for TSV Kornburg. This points to a Ingolstadt II double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Ingolstadt II

17%

Draws

32%

TSV Kornburg

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Ingolstadt II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Ingolstadt II picked up more points recently compared to TSV Kornburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 86%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%

Ingolstadt II Clean Sheet 10%

TSV Kornburg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ingolstadt II	TSV Kornburg
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	16	8
Draws	5	10
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	2.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs TSV Kornburg

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Oct 10, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

TSV Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 59% - 46% Cards: 0 - 3

2:1

Mar 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Ingolstadt II vs TSV Kornburg

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

3:0

Sep 6, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

TSV Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

5:0

Nov 3, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord

TSV Kornburg vs Ingolstadt II

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt II 48 / 100

TSV Kornburg 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ingolstadt II TSV Kornburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ingolstadt II or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ingolstadt II attacking → ← attacking TSV Kornburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt II scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

TSV Kornburg let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ingolstadt II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

TSV Kornburg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 34

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	55:30	65
2	Cham	32	17	8	7	58:35	59
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	68:50	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53:47	53
5	Bamberg	32	13	12	7	54:39	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	57:39	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	14	6	12	64:54	48
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	66:58	45
9	Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	59:53	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	56:51	43
11	Neudrossenfeld	32	12	5	15	47:54	41
12	TSV Kornburg	32	9	13	10	48:50	40
13	Wurzburger FV	32	10	7	15	46:62	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	32	10	7	15	43:61	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	42:65	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	44:81	30
17	Grossschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	35:66	20