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Ingolstadt vs Dusseldorf - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ingolstadt host Dusseldorf in the 3. Liga. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Dusseldorf have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while Ingolstadt have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Dusseldorf slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2022, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.56) point toward Dusseldorf. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ingolstadt
30%
Draws
28%
Dusseldorf
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ingolstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ingolstadt lately — more wins on the board than Dusseldorf.
  • Win probability leans Ingolstadt's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Dusseldorf have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 15%
Dusseldorf Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Dusseldorf
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 2 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.48 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Ingolstadt
3:0
Sep 25, 2021 2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt vs Dusseldorf
1:2
Sep 12, 2020 DFB Pokal
Ingolstadt vs Dusseldorf
0:1
Apr 22, 2018 2. Bundesliga
Dusseldorf vs Ingolstadt
3:0
Nov 19, 2017 2. Bundesliga
Ingolstadt vs Dusseldorf
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 57 / 100
Dusseldorf 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Dusseldorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ingolstadt scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Dusseldorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Ingolstadt went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Dusseldorf
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
24 Oct
Ingolstadt
2 : 1
Duisburg
17 Oct
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
RW Essen
14 Oct
Mannheim
0 : 3
Ingolstadt
11 Oct
Ingolstadt
2 : 4
Wehen
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
Page 1 of 6

Dusseldorf

(Away)
30 Oct
Dusseldorf
0 : 0
Meppen
24 Oct
Hansa Rostock
1 : 1
Dusseldorf
17 Oct
Dusseldorf
1 : 3
Saarbrucken
14 Oct
Preussen Munster
1 : 2
Dusseldorf
11 Oct
Dusseldorf
2 : 2
Verl
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 11 8 1 2 28:14 25
2 FC Viktoria Koln 11 7 2 2 30:15 23
3 RW Essen 11 6 3 2 19:13 21
4 Saarbrucken 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
5 Alemannia Aachen 11 5 2 4 17:17 17
6 Ingolstadt 11 5 2 4 15:16 17
7 Mannheim 11 5 1 5 20:17 16
8 Hoffenheim II 11 5 1 5 21:19 16
9 Hansa Rostock 11 4 4 3 18:20 16
10 Dusseldorf 12 4 4 4 12:14 16
11 Wehen 11 4 3 4 19:16 15
12 Meppen 12 4 3 5 16:17 15
13 Preussen Munster 11 4 3 4 19:21 15
14 VfB Stuttgart II 11 4 2 5 18:20 14
15 Verl 11 3 3 5 16:22 12
16 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 11 3 3 5 13:25 12
17 Wurzburger Kickers 11 3 2 6 15:23 11
18 Regensburg 11 2 4 5 20:20 10
19 Fortuna Koln 11 2 4 5 8:12 10
20 TSV Havelse 11 2 3 6 16:25 9
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)