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Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

3. Liga Audi Sportpark, Ingolstadt
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Gjasula K.
31' Event
Velupillay N.
Assist: Bennetts K.
43' Event
Zor Y.
Assist: Poller T.

AI Match Summary

Hoffenheim II in this 3. Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hoffenheim II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
65%
Hoffenheim II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hoffenheim II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ingolstadt have won more games recently than Hoffenheim II.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Hoffenheim II taking it.
  • Regular 3. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ingolstadt here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Hoffenheim II Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Hoffenheim II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.39 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 3. Liga
Hoffenheim II vs Ingolstadt
0:3
Nov 29, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Hoffenheim II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Velupillay N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hoffenheim II Compare

Top Goalscorer Zor Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fields J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 10 / 100
Hoffenheim II 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Hoffenheim II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hoffenheim II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hoffenheim II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Ingolstadt's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Ingolstadt has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Hoffenheim II
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
02 Oct
Nurnberg
3 : 1
Ingolstadt
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
Page 1 of 6

Hoffenheim II

(Away)
19 Sept
Hoffenheim II
1 : 0
Meppen
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 : 0
Hoffenheim II
29 Aug
Hoffenheim II
5 : 1
Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Duisburg 7 6 0 1 19:7 18
2 FC Viktoria Koln 7 5 0 2 19:9 15
3 RW Essen 7 4 2 1 13:9 14
4 Saarbrucken 7 4 1 2 19:12 13
5 Hoffenheim II 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Hansa Rostock 7 3 3 1 15:15 12
7 Alemannia Aachen 7 3 2 2 11:8 11
8 Preussen Munster 7 3 2 2 12:13 11
9 Mannheim 7 3 1 3 11:10 10
10 Dusseldorf 7 3 1 3 6:7 10
11 Verl 7 3 1 3 10:13 10
12 Fortuna Koln 7 2 3 2 8:8 9
13 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Ingolstadt 7 2 2 3 7:11 8
15 VfB Stuttgart II 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
16 Wurzburger Kickers 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
17 Meppen 7 2 0 5 8:15 6
18 Regensburg 7 1 2 4 13:17 5
19 Wehen 7 1 2 4 5:13 5
20 TSV Havelse 7 1 1 5 10:15 4
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Relegation)