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Stadium Background

Ingolstadt vs Ried

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Costly M.
41' Event
Kiedl P.
61' Event
Mayer J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ingolstadt and Ried finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ingolstadt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
53%
Ried
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ried

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Ingolstadt haven't matched Ried's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ried's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 10%
Ried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Ried
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.34 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 9, 2026 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt vs Ried
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Costly M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kugel J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ried Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiedl P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mayer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 10 / 100
Ried 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Ried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ried Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ried let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Ingolstadt scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Ingolstadt went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Ried
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Viktoria Koln
3 : 0
Ingolstadt
16 Sept
Ingolstadt
1 : 2
Hoffenheim II
12 Sept
Saarbrucken
0 : 1
Ingolstadt
04 Sept
Ingolstadt
0 : 3
Alemannia Aachen
29 Aug
Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0 : 2
Ingolstadt
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Ried

(Away)
20 Sept
Ried
4 : 1
Wolfsberger AC
11 Sept
Ried
1 : 1
Salzburg
04 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 5
Ried
30 Aug
Hartberg
3 : 2
Ried
21 Aug
Ried
1 : 0
Grazer AK
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