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Ingolstadt vs Ulm

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Hoppe M.
59' Event
Mamba S.
65' Event
Aksakal E.

AI Match Summary

Ulm in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ulm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ingolstadt
15%
Draws
26%
Ulm
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ingolstadt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulm haven't matched Ingolstadt's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ingolstadt a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ingolstadt Clean Sheet 14%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt Ulm
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.69 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt vs Ulm
1:2
Mar 15, 2026 3. Liga
Ulm vs Ingolstadt
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 3. Liga
Ingolstadt vs Ulm
4:1
Jul 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Ingolstadt vs Ulm
1:1
Feb 24, 2024 3. Liga
Ulm vs Ingolstadt
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoppe M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Mamba S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aksakal E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt 75 / 100
Ulm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt Ulm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ingolstadt scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ulm conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ingolstadt stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt VS Ulm
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt

(Home)
08 Aug
Ingolstadt
2 : 2
Wurzburger Kickers
01 Aug
Heidenheim
4 : 1
Ingolstadt
25 Jul
RB Leipzig
1 : 0
Ingolstadt
18 Jul
Ingolstadt
1 : 0
Palermo
09 Jul
Ingolstadt
2 : 0
LASK Linz
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Ulm

(Away)
14 Aug
Ulm
0 : 2
Kickers Offenbach
07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2
Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0
Ulm
25 Jul
Ulm
0 : 4
VfB Stuttgart II
19 Jul
Ulm
3 : 1
Bayern II
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