Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ingolstadt W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women 2025/2026 Tuja-Stadion, Ingolstadt
Ingolstadt W Logo

Ingolstadt W

Sun, Sep 28, 2025
3 - 2
09:00 AM
1.FC Nurnberg W Logo

1.FC Nurnberg W

Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Wos O.
(Penalty)
56' Event
Wolski L.
107' Event
Kuya-Strobel M.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Ingolstadt W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ingolstadt W
6%
Draws
90%
1.FC Nurnberg W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: 1.FC Nurnberg W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ingolstadt W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on 1.FC Nurnberg W taking it.
  • Ingolstadt W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor 1.FC Nurnberg W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors 1.FC Nurnberg W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ingolstadt W Clean Sheet 10%
1.FC Nurnberg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt W 1.FC Nurnberg W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 DFB Pokal Women
Ingolstadt W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
3:2
Feb 9, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Ingolstadt W
3:2
Aug 25, 2024 2. Bundesliga Women
Ingolstadt W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
1:3
May 7, 2023 2. Bundesliga Women
Ingolstadt W vs 1.FC Nurnberg W
0:2
Dec 4, 2022 2. Bundesliga Women
1.FC Nurnberg W vs Ingolstadt W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolski L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Penzkofer N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

1.FC Nurnberg W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt W 10 / 100
1.FC Nurnberg W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt W 1.FC Nurnberg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FCN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ingolstadt W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

1.FC Nurnberg W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Ingolstadt W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt W VS 1.FC Nurnberg W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt W

(Home)
17 May
Ingolstadt W
3 : 1
Bayern Munich II W
10 May
Mainz W
5 : 0
Ingolstadt W
03 May
Meppen W
3 : 2
Ingolstadt W
26 Apr
Ingolstadt W
1 : 2
B. Monchengladbach W
05 Apr
Bochum W
0 : 1
Ingolstadt W
Page 1 of 6

1.FC Nurnberg W

(Away)
22 Jul
1.FC Nurnberg W
0 : 1
Carl Zeiss Jena W
17 Jul
Ajax W
1 : 3
1.FC Nurnberg W
12 Jul
Weinberg W
0 : 6
1.FC Nurnberg W
17 May
Wolfsburg W
3 : 1
1.FC Nurnberg W
08 May
1.FC Nurnberg W
3 : 0
SGS Essen W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
VfB Stuttgart W0
Mainz W2
TBD-
Union Berlin W-
Chemie Leipzig W3
Freiburg-St. Georgen W2
TBD-
Carl Zeiss Jena W-
Holstein Kiel W0
Meppen W1
TBD-
SC Sand W-
Neubrandenburg W0
VfR Warbeyen W8
TBD-
Koln W-
FSV Babelsberg W1
Buntentor W2
TBD-
Wolfsburg W-
Borussia Pankow W0
Hannover W6
TBD-
Freiburg W-
Weinberg W2
Greuther Furth W3
TBD-
Hoffenheim W-
Viktoria Berlin W2
Bochum W1
TBD-
Eintracht Frankfurt W-
Gutersloh W0
Magdeburg W2
TBD-
Hamburger W-
Elversberg W2
Fortuna Koln W1
TBD-
Bayer Leverkusen W-
Saalfeld Titans W0
Ingolstadt W23
TBD-
1.FC Nurnberg W-
Dortmund W3
B. Monchengladbach W1
TBD-
Bayern Munich W-
Montabaur W3
Siegelbach W0
TBD-
Potsdam W-
VfL Herrenberg W0
Kickers Offenbach W2
TBD-
SGS Essen W-
Karlsruher W0
Andernach W4
TBD-
RB Leipzig W-
Solingen-Aufderhohe W0
SC Victoria Hamburg W6
TBD-
Werder Bremen W-
1/16-finals
Mainz W0
Union Berlin W2
Chemie Leipzig W0
Carl Zeiss Jena W5
Meppen W0
SC Sand W3
VfR Warbeyen W0
Koln W6
Buntentor W0
Wolfsburg W11
Hannover W0
Freiburg W4
Greuther Furth W1
Hoffenheim W2
Viktoria Berlin W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W3
Magdeburg W0
Hamburger W3
Elversberg W0
Bayer Leverkusen W5
Ingolstadt W3
1.FC Nurnberg W2
Dortmund W0
Bayern Munich W2
Montabaur W0
Potsdam W3
Kickers Offenbach W0
SGS Essen W7
Andernach W0
RB Leipzig W7
SC Victoria Hamburg W0
Werder Bremen W7
1/8-finals
Union Berlin W0
Carl Zeiss Jena W1
SC Sand W3
Koln W2
Wolfsburg W3
Freiburg W1
Hoffenheim W4
Eintracht Frankfurt W6
Hamburger W2
Bayer Leverkusen W1
Ingolstadt W0
Bayern Munich W3
Potsdam W0
SGS Essen W1
RB Leipzig W1
Werder Bremen W2
Quarter-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W4
SC Sand W1
Wolfsburg W1
Eintracht Frankfurt W0
Hamburger W0
Bayern Munich W3
SGS Essen W1
Werder Bremen W0
Semi-finals
Carl Zeiss Jena W0
Wolfsburg W1
Bayern Munich W4
SGS Essen W0
Final
Wolfsburg W0
Bayern Munich W4