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Stadium Background

Ingolstadt W vs Mainz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

DFB Pokal Women
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Reischmann S.
30' Event
Martin L.
52' Event
Kats V.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-6. The second leg ended 1-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ingolstadt W
30%
Draws
23%
Mainz W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ingolstadt W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Mainz W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ingolstadt W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Mainz W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mainz W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Mainz W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ingolstadt W Clean Sheet 20%
Mainz W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ingolstadt W Mainz W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.67 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 DFB Pokal Women
Ingolstadt W vs Mainz W
1:6
May 10, 2026 2. Bundesliga Women
Mainz W vs Ingolstadt W
5:0
Dec 7, 2025 2. Bundesliga Women
Ingolstadt W vs Mainz W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ingolstadt W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reischmann S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mainz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kats V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stohr L.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ingolstadt W 76 / 100
Mainz W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ingolstadt W Mainz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ingolstadt W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ingolstadt W scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 5.33 goals as a typical output.

Mainz W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Ingolstadt W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ingolstadt W VS Mainz W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ingolstadt W

(Home)
04 Oct
Ingolstadt W
3 : 3
Bochum W
26 Sept
Ingolstadt W
1 : 6
Mainz W
20 Sept
Ingolstadt W
0 : 0
B. Monchengladbach W
13 Sept
SGS Essen W
1 : 1
Ingolstadt W
06 Sept
Ingolstadt W
3 : 1
Koln II W
Page 1 of 6

Mainz W

(Away)
03 Oct
RB Leipzig W
5 : 0
Mainz W
26 Sept
Ingolstadt W
1 : 6
Mainz W
18 Sept
Mainz W
2 : 3
Eintracht Frankfurt W
13 Sept
Freiburg W
3 : 0
Mainz W
05 Sept
Mainz W
0 : 4
Koln W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Buntentor W 3
SV Blau Weiss Berolina Mitte W 0
TBD -
1.FC Nurnberg W -
Karlsruher W 8
Issel W 0
TBD -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Freiburg-Zahringen W 0
SC Sand W 7
TBD -
Wolfsburg W -
Saarbrucken W 1
Greuther Furth W 3
TBD -
Hoffenheim W -
Duisburg W 1
B. Monchengladbach W 2
TBD -
Bayern Munich W -
VfR Warbeyen W 1
Viktoria Berlin W 3
TBD -
Bayer Leverkusen W -
Jesteburg Bendestorf W 0
Hertha Berlin W 5
TBD -
Koln W -
Chemnitzer W 0
Blau-Gelb Marburg W 6
TBD -
RB Leipzig W -
St. Pauli W 0
Meppen W 1
TBD -
Hamburger W -
Holstein Kiel W 0
Magdeburg W 3
TBD -
Union Berlin W -
Andernach W 2
Fortuna Koln W 1
TBD -
Freiburg W -
Worms W 0
Eutingen W 10
TBD -
Carl Zeiss Jena W -
FSV Babelsberg W 0
Potsdam W 4
TBD -
VfB Stuttgart W -
Schalke W 7
Hannover W 0
TBD -
SGS Essen W -
Erfurt W 1
Ingolstadt W 2
TBD -
Mainz W -
Hansa Rostock W 0
Bochum W 6
TBD -
Werder Bremen W -
1/16-finals
Buntentor W 0
1.FC Nurnberg W 10
Karlsruher W 1
Eintracht Frankfurt W 6
SC Sand W 0
Wolfsburg W 6
Greuther Furth W 1
Hoffenheim W 4
B. Monchengladbach W 1
Bayern Munich W 2
Viktoria Berlin W 0
Bayer Leverkusen W 2
Hertha Berlin W 1
Koln W 2
Blau-Gelb Marburg W 0
RB Leipzig W 2
Meppen W 1
Hamburger W 2
Magdeburg W 0
Union Berlin W 5
Andernach W 1
Freiburg W 2
Eutingen W 0
Carl Zeiss Jena W 6
Potsdam W 2
VfB Stuttgart W 3
Schalke W 1
SGS Essen W 4
Ingolstadt W 1
Mainz W 6
Bochum W 0
Werder Bremen W 1
1/8-finals
1.FC Nurnberg W -
Eintracht Frankfurt W -
Wolfsburg W -
Hoffenheim W -
Bayern Munich W -
Bayer Leverkusen W -
Koln W -
RB Leipzig W -
Hamburger W -
Union Berlin W -
Freiburg W -
Carl Zeiss Jena W -
VfB Stuttgart W -
SGS Essen W -
Mainz W -
Werder Bremen W -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -