Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inhulets vs Metalist Kharkiv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Benedyuk A.
42' Event
Malysh S.
46'
Sub
Orikhovskyi M. In: Prykhodko D.
Out: Orikhovskyi M.

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga game between Inhulets and Metalist Kharkiv finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inhulets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Inhulets
30%
Draws
29%
Metalist Kharkiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inhulets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Metalist Kharkiv come out ahead of Inhulets on wins alone.
  • Model gives Inhulets a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Inhulets have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 68%
Metalist Kharkiv Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inhulets Metalist Kharkiv
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.93 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Metalist Kharkiv
1:0
Nov 22, 2025 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Metalist Kharkiv
3:0
Aug 10, 2025 Persha Liga
Metalist Kharkiv vs Inhulets
1:2
Mar 11, 2023 Premier League
Inhulets vs Metalist Kharkiv
2:1
Aug 29, 2022 Premier League
Metalist Kharkiv vs Inhulets
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inhulets Compare

Top Goalscorer Malysh S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Metalist Kharkiv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inhulets 50 / 100
Metalist Kharkiv 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inhulets Metalist Kharkiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inhulets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Metalist Kharkiv conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Inhulets went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Inhulets found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Inhulets VS Metalist Kharkiv
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inhulets

(Home)
10 Oct
Inhulets
0 : 1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
26 Sept
Inhulets
2 : 1
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
04 Sept
SC Poltava
0 : 0
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Metalist Kharkiv

(Away)
09 Oct
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 2
Victoria
03 Oct
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
27 Sept
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
FC Chernihiv
20 Sept
SC Poltava
3 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
12 Sept
Inhulets
1 : 0
Metalist Kharkiv
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
3 Oleksandriya 11 5 4 2 16:10 19
4 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
5 Fenix Mariupol 11 5 3 3 14:12 18
6 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
10 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 10:12 14
11 Kolos Kovalivka 2 10 4 0 6 11:17 12
12 Nyva Ternopil 10 2 5 3 9:9 11
13 UCSA 11 2 4 5 15:19 10
14 FC Chernihiv 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)