Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inhulets host Probiy Horodenka in the Persha Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Inhulets have averaged 1 scored and 1.44 conceded recently, against Probiy Horodenka's 1.11 scored and 1.68 conceded. Head-to-head, Inhulets have won 2 to Probiy Horodenka's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 26, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Probiy Horodenka. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Inhulets
20%
Draws
58%
Probiy Horodenka
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Probiy Horodenka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Inhulets haven't matched Probiy Horodenka's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Inhulets Clean Sheet 20%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inhulets Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets
2:2
May 3, 2026 Persha Liga
Inhulets vs Probiy Horodenka
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets
0:1
Aug 21, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
Probiy Horodenka vs Inhulets
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inhulets 36 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inhulets Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Probiy Horodenka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Inhulets's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Probiy Horodenka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Inhulets stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inhulets VS Probiy Horodenka
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inhulets

(Home)
31 Oct
Lokomotyv Kyiv
2 : 1
Inhulets
25 Oct
Inhulets
2 : 0
Kolos Kovalivka 2
17 Oct
Fenix Mariupol
4 : 1
Inhulets
10 Oct
Inhulets
0 : 1
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
03 Oct
Victoria
1 : 0
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

Probiy Horodenka

(Away)
01 Nov
Probiy Horodenka
2 : 2
Nyva Ternopil
24 Oct
Oleksandriya
2 : 0
Probiy Horodenka
18 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 14 8 4 2 19:11 28
2 Fenix Mariupol 14 8 3 3 23:14 27
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 13 8 2 3 22:14 26
4 Kulikiv 14 7 3 4 28:17 24
5 Oleksandriya 14 6 6 2 19:11 24
6 SC Poltava 14 7 3 4 25:13 24
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 14 5 5 4 19:17 20
8 Nyva Ternopil 14 4 7 3 17:13 19
9 Metalist Kharkiv 14 5 3 6 17:16 18
10 Inhulets 13 5 2 6 14:18 17
11 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 14 4 4 6 13:18 16
12 UCSA 14 3 5 6 18:23 14
13 Kolos Kovalivka 2 14 4 1 9 12:26 13
14 FC Chernihiv 12 2 4 6 13:19 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 14 2 4 8 14:34 10
16 Zhytomyr 2 14 1 6 7 18:27 9
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)