Sport Picks
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Gemlikspor
Turkey
3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 
Match Events
27'
27'
Balaban A.
Assist: Cebeci S.
66'
66'
Yildiz A. K.
Assist: Baykara K.
AI Match Summary
The 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 game between Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu and Gemlikspor finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
22%
60%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Gemlikspor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu haven't matched Gemlikspor's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Gemlikspor's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 17%
Gemlikspor Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | Gemlikspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 1, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Gemlikspor
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Gemlikspor vs Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Compare
Top Goalscorer Balaban A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Gemlikspor Compare
Top Goalscorer Yildiz A. K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 20 / 100
Gemlikspor 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Gemlikspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick GEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gemlikspor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Recent resilience: Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu VS Gemlikspor
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
(Home) 18 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1 : 0 Yesil Yalova FK
12 Apr
Edirnespor Genclik
2 : 0 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 5 Cankaya FK
29 Mar
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 0 Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
25 Mar
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
3 : 1 Inegol Kafkas
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1 : 0 Yesil Yalova FK
05 Apr
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 5 Cankaya FK
25 Mar
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
3 : 1 Inegol Kafkas
07 Mar
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
2 : 2 Beykoz Ishakli Spor
28 Feb
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
0 : 0 Kestel Cilekspor
Page 1 of 3
Gemlikspor
(Away) 18 Apr
Gemlikspor
3 : 1 Kestel Cilekspor
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2 Gemlikspor
05 Apr
Gemlikspor
2 : 1 Bulvarspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0 Gemlikspor
24 Mar
Gemlikspor
3 : 2 Yesil Yalova FK
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Silivrispor
1 : 2 Gemlikspor
28 Mar
Kucukcekmece
3 : 0 Gemlikspor
14 Mar
Edirnespor Genclik
0 : 0 Gemlikspor
01 Mar
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 2 Gemlikspor
15 Feb
Galata Spor Kulubu
0 : 1 Gemlikspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inegol Kafkas | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 49:26 | 62 |
| 2 | Corluspor | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 57:23 | 61 |
| 3 | Kucukcekmece | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 54:30 | 56 |
| 4 | Etimesgut | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 36:23 | 52 |
| 5 | Bursa Yildirimspor | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 38:31 | 49 |
| 6 | Silivrispor | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 42:36 | 43 |
| 7 | Beykoz Ishakli Spor | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 34:35 | 40 |
| 8 | Gemlikspor | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | 38 |
| 9 | Yesil Yalova FK | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 10 | Galata Spor Kulubu | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 34:34 | 37 |
| 11 | Bulvarspor | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35:47 | 35 |
| 12 | Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu | 30 | 7 | 14 | 9 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 13 | Cankaya FK | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 38:37 | 34 |
| 14 | Kestel Cilekspor | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 27:39 | 30 |
| 15 | 1926 Polatli Belediye | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 24:44 | 28 |
| 16 | Edirnespor Genclik | 30 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 22:65 | 15 |
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)