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Innsbrucker AC vs Fugen

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Innsbrucker AC play Fugen in the Tirol 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Innsbrucker AC averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. Fugen averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Innsbrucker AC won 3, Fugen won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2026 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Innsbrucker AC and 2.31 for Fugen. This points to a Fugen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Innsbrucker AC
15%
Draws
50%
Fugen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fugen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Innsbrucker AC picked up more points recently compared to Fugen.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 2.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%
Innsbrucker AC Clean Sheet 10%
Fugen Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Innsbrucker AC Fugen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.83 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Fugen
2:3
Aug 16, 2025 Tirol
Fugen vs Innsbrucker AC
2:4
May 25, 2025 Tirol
Fugen vs Innsbrucker AC
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Fugen
5:3
Mar 24, 2024 Tirol
Innsbrucker AC vs Fugen
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Innsbrucker AC 34 / 100
Fugen 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Innsbrucker AC Fugen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fugen or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Innsbrucker AC attacking → ← attacking Fugen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Innsbrucker AC scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Fugen let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.60 goals.

Innsbrucker AC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Fugen lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 65
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63