Sport Picks
Institute vs Crumlin Star Prediction & H2H Stats
Northern Ireland
Irish Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
104'
104'
Deane B.
118'
118'
McLaughlin K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Institute advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Crumlin Star come out ahead of Institute on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Institute's way, sitting at 90%.
- Crumlin Star arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Institute, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Institute Clean Sheet 20%
Crumlin Star Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Institute | Crumlin Star |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 21 |
| Draws | 3 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 2.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 6, 2024 Irish Cup
Institute vs Crumlin Star
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Institute Compare
Top Goalscorer Deane B.
1 Goals Assists Leader McLaughlin K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Crumlin Star Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Institute 85 / 100
Crumlin Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Institute Crumlin Star
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Institute scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Crumlin Star's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Institute has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Institute VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Institute
(Home) 03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0 Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0 Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5 Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2 Institute
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0 Newington FC
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0 Warrenpoint
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3 Newry City
15 Aug
Institute
0 : 0 Loughgall
11 Aug
Institute
1 : 2 Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 3
Crumlin Star
(Away) 06 Jan
Institute
2 : 0 Crumlin Star
25 Dec
Crumlin Star
2 : 3 Comber Rec
25 Nov
Crumlin Star
2 : 0 Limavady
04 Jan
Ballymena
2 : 0 Crumlin Star
30 Nov
Coagh Utd
0 : 1 Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 6
06 Jan
Institute
2 : 0 Crumlin Star
04 Jan
Ballymena
2 : 0 Crumlin Star
30 Nov
Coagh Utd
0 : 1 Crumlin Star
02 Feb
Larne
3 : 1 Crumlin Star
05 Jan
Loughgall
1 : 4 Crumlin Star
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Valley Rangers 0
Oxford Sunnyside 3
Ballymacash 3
Drumaness 1
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 0
Strabane Athletic 5
Dungannon -
TBD -
Willowbank 3
Tobermore 2
Crumlin Star 2
Limavady 0
TBD -
Institute -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Linfield -
TBD -
Warrenpoint 6
Lisburn Rangers 1
Queens University 3
Derriaghy 2
TBD -
Ballymena -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
Cliftonville -
Loughgall -
TBD -
Rosemount Rec 3
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Newington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
1/16-finals
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Ballymacash 3
Glentoran 1
Annagh 0
Ballyclare 5
Strabane Athletic 2
Dungannon 5
Willowbank 0
Crumlin Star 0
Institute 2
Crusaders 1
Ards 2
Linfield 4
Warrenpoint 2
Queens University 0
Ballymena 4
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 3
Dergview 1
Coleraine 0
Cliftonville 3
Loughgall 3
Rosemount Rec 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Larne 4
Knockbreda 0
Glenavon 4
Newington FC 2
Dundela 1
Newry City 3
Ballinamallard 2
1/8-finals
Ballymacash 1
Glentoran 6
Ballyclare 3
Dungannon 2
Institute 1
Ards 0
Linfield 2
Ballymena 0
Portadown 2
Bangor FC 1
Cliftonville 4
Loughgall 0
Larne 5
Glenavon 0
Newington FC 2
Newry City 1
Quarter-finals
Glentoran 2
Ballyclare 0
Institute 1
Linfield 3
Portadown 0
Cliftonville 2
Larne 4
Newington FC 1
Semi-finals
Glentoran 1
Linfield 3
Cliftonville 2
Larne 0
Final
Linfield 1
Cliftonville 3
