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Institute vs Dundela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Institute host Dundela in the NIFL Championship. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Dundela have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Institute have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Institute have won 3 to Dundela's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.81) point toward Institute. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Institute
30%
Draws
23%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Institute come out ahead of Dundela on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Institute's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Institute Clean Sheet 11%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Dundela
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 5 13
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Institute
1:2
Jan 17, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Dundela
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Dundela
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Institute
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Institute
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 83 / 100
Dundela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Institute scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Dundela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Institute went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Dundela
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
10 Oct
Institute
0 : 0
Harland & Wolff
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
Page 1 of 7

Dundela

(Away)
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1
Dundela
03 Oct
Dundela
0 : 2
Queens University
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 11 6 4 1 25:14 22
2 Glenavon 11 6 3 2 26:14 21
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 11 6 1 4 20:8 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Warrenpoint 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
7 Institute 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
8 Ballinamallard 11 5 2 4 17:16 17
9 Harland & Wolff 11 5 1 5 18:16 16
10 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
11 Moyola 11 4 2 5 12:21 14
12 Loughgall 11 3 4 4 15:21 13
13 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
14 Strabane Athletic 11 2 3 6 10:20 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)