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Institute vs Moyola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NIFL Championship game between Institute and Moyola finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Institute
30%
Draws
33%
Moyola
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Institute carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Institute have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Institute Clean Sheet 19%
Moyola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute Moyola
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Moyola
1:1
Aug 29, 2017 Irish League Cup
Moyola vs Institute
1:2
Aug 6, 2016 Irish League Cup
Moyola vs Institute
1:3
Mar 31, 2007 NIFL Championship
Moyola vs Institute
0:2
Dec 9, 2006 NIFL Championship
Institute vs Moyola
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 32 / 100
Moyola 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute Moyola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moyola Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Institute scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Moyola let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Institute went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS Moyola
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
31 Oct
Institute
1 : 1
Moyola
20 Oct
Institute
0 : 3
Loughgall
16 Oct
Ards
0 : 2
Institute
10 Oct
Institute
0 : 0
Harland & Wolff
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
Page 1 of 6

Moyola

(Away)
31 Oct
Institute
1 : 1
Moyola
20 Oct
Dundela
1 : 4
Moyola
16 Oct
Moyola
2 : 3
Newington FC
10 Oct
Loughgall
1 : 2
Moyola
03 Oct
Moyola
0 : 3
Glenavon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 14 9 4 1 36:16 31
2 Glenavon 13 8 3 2 34:16 27
3 Newington FC 13 8 2 3 29:22 26
4 Institute 13 6 3 4 23:18 21
5 Ballinamallard 14 6 3 5 20:19 21
6 Queens University 14 6 2 6 24:18 20
7 Newry City 14 5 5 4 21:23 20
8 Warrenpoint 12 5 3 4 21:17 18
9 Ards 14 4 5 5 16:17 17
10 Loughgall 14 4 5 5 18:26 17
11 Harland & Wolff 13 5 1 7 19:22 16
12 Moyola 13 4 3 6 15:25 15
13 Rathfriland Rangers 13 4 1 8 14:25 13
14 Dundela 12 2 5 5 19:24 11
15 Strabane Athletic 14 2 5 7 13:24 11
16 Armagh 14 1 6 7 12:22 9
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)