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Institute vs PSNI Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish League Cup 2021/2022
Institute Logo

Institute

4 - 3
FT
PSNI Logo

PSNI

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Dunne J.
26' Event
McCleery K.
Own Goal
46' Event
Lannie C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-3, with Institute advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Institute
15%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • PSNI haven't matched Institute's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Institute taking it.
  • Institute have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Institute, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Institute have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Institute Clean Sheet 68%
PSNI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute PSNI
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 15 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 22
Goals Scored 1.77 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.4 3.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2021 Irish League Cup
Institute vs PSNI
4:3
Apr 27, 2021 Irish Cup
Institute vs PSNI
0:0
Aug 28, 2019 Irish League Cup
Institute vs PSNI
3:2
Jan 23, 2018 NIFL Championship
Institute vs PSNI
1:0
Jan 13, 2018 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Institute
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Institute Compare

Top Goalscorer Dunne J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McLaughlin B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

PSNI Compare

Top Goalscorer Magee B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lannie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 95 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Institute found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: PSNI conceded in 96% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: PSNI has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
29 Aug
Institute
1 : 3
Newry City
Page 1 of 6

PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
Portstewart -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Newry City 2
Tobermore 1
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Loughgall -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
Newington FC -
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Ards -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Annagh 4
Knockbreda 1
TBD -
Ballymena -
Ballyclare 2
Queens University 1
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
1/16-finals
Carrick Rangers 2
Dergview 1
Bangor FC 0
Coleraine 5
Glenavon 5
Portstewart 1
Glentoran 5
Banbridge 0
Newry City 1
Warrenpoint 2
Loughgall 6
Lisburn Distillery 2
Larne 4
Limavady 0
Dungannon 3
Armagh 0
Portadown 2
Newington FC 0
Dundela 0
Ballinamallard 4
Ards 4
Dollingstown 0
Cliftonville 2
Harland & Wolff 0
Crusaders 5
Moyola 0
Annagh 2
Ballymena 4
Ballyclare 0
Linfield 4
Institute 4
PSNI 3
1/8-finals
Carrick Rangers 0
Coleraine 2
Glenavon 2
Glentoran 3
Warrenpoint 1
Loughgall 0
Limavady 3
Dungannon 2
Portadown 1
Ballinamallard 0
Ards 1
Cliftonville 4
Crusaders 2
Ballymena 3
Linfield 11
PSNI 0
Quarter-finals
Coleraine 2
Glentoran 0
Warrenpoint 6
Limavady 1
Portadown 1
Cliftonville 2
Ballymena 3
Linfield 1
Semi-finals
Coleraine 6
Warrenpoint 1
Cliftonville 3
Ballymena 0
Final
Coleraine 3
Cliftonville 4