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Institute vs PSNI Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2020/2021
Tue, Apr 27, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish Cup 2020/2021. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Institute have averaged 1.97 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against PSNI's 1.04 scored and 3.96 conceded. Past meetings favor Institute slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 14, 2021, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.60 - 1.00) back Institute to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Institute
15%
Draws
0%
PSNI
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Institute have won more games recently than PSNI.
  • Model gives Institute a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Institute have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Institute, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Institute here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Institute Clean Sheet 20%
PSNI Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Institute PSNI
Matches Played 34 26
Wins 18 4
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.97 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.29 3.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2021 Irish League Cup
Institute vs PSNI
4:3
Apr 27, 2021 Irish Cup
Institute vs PSNI
0:0
Aug 28, 2019 Irish League Cup
Institute vs PSNI
3:2
Jan 23, 2018 NIFL Championship
Institute vs PSNI
1:0
Jan 13, 2018 NIFL Championship
PSNI vs Institute
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Institute 85 / 100
PSNI 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Institute PSNI

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Institute Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Institute scored in 85% of their last 33 outings.

PSNI's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 25 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Away concern: PSNI has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Institute VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Institute

(Home)
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Annagh
5 : 0
Institute
19 Sept
Institute
2 : 0
Warrenpoint
12 Sept
Armagh
3 : 5
Institute
05 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
0 : 2
Institute
Page 1 of 7

PSNI

(Away)
09 Jul
PSNI
0 : 7
Ards
29 Aug
PSNI
0 : 1
Moyola
06 Aug
Lisburn Distillery
2 : 1
PSNI
02 Nov
Linfield
11 : 0
PSNI
14 Sept
Institute
4 : 3
PSNI
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Larne -
Newry City -
Ards -
Dollingstown -
Carrick Rangers 3
Belfast Celtic 0
Queens University -
Bangor FC -
Glentoran -
Dundela -
Cliftonville 5
Portstewart 1
Knockbreda 2
Newington FC 1
Coleraine 0
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 4
Portadown 1
Institute -
PSNI -
Ballinamallard 2
Dergview 3
Harland & Wolff -
St. James' Swifts -
Loughgall 2
Banbridge 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballyclare 1
Linfield 2
Annagh 0
Glenavon 1
Dungannon 2
1/8-finals
Larne 8
Dollingstown 1
Carrick Rangers 3
Bangor FC 2
Glentoran 1
Cliftonville 0
Knockbreda 0
Crusaders 5
Ballymena 5
PSNI 0
Dergview 2
St. James' Swifts 0
Loughgall 1
Warrenpoint 0
Linfield 5
Dungannon 2
Quarter-finals
Larne 2
Carrick Rangers 1
Glentoran 0
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 5
Dergview 0
Loughgall 1
Linfield 3
Semi-finals
Larne 2
Crusaders 1
Ballymena 0
Linfield 3
Final
Larne 1
Linfield 2