Sport Picks
Match Events
2'
2'
Mendez J.
35'
35'
Medina A.
36'
36'
Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
Assist: Mosevich L.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Instituto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Lanus come out ahead of Instituto on wins alone.
- Instituto are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Lanus arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Instituto, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Instituto Clean Sheet 68%
Lanus Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Instituto | Lanus |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.9 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
0:1
May 30, 2026 Copa Argentina
Instituto vs Lanus
2:1
Feb 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs Lanus
0:0
Mar 17, 2025 Liga Profesional
Lanus vs Instituto
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Instituto Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lazaro J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Lanus Compare
Top Goalscorer Besozzi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Instituto 86 / 100
Lanus 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Instituto Lanus
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick INS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Instituto scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Instituto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Lanus lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Instituto VS Lanus
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Instituto
(Home) 09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1 Platense
24 Jul
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Instituto
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
Page 1 of 6
09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1 Platense
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
18 Apr
Instituto
0 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
07 Apr
Instituto
2 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 4
Lanus
(Away) 06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
03 Aug
Lanus
0 : 1 Instituto
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
23 Jul
Lanus
2 : 0 Cienciano
Page 1 of 7
06 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 1 Lanus
30 Jul
Cienciano
4 : 0 Lanus
30 May
Instituto
2 : 1 Lanus
21 May
LDU Quito
2 : 0 Lanus
10 May
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 0 Lanus
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
San Lorenzo 5
Deportivo Rincon 0
Deportivo Riestra 1
Deportivo Maipu 0
Newells Old Boys 0
Acassuso 2
Gimnasia L.P. 4
Deportivo Camioneros 1
Banfield 3
Real Pilar 0
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0
San Martin T. 1
Godoy Cruz 0
Deportivo Moron 1
Argentinos Jrs 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 1
San Martin Formosa 0
Defensa y Justicia 2
Chaco For Ever 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2
Gimnasia Jujuy 3
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Atl. Rafaela 0
Velez Sarsfield 4
Deportivo Armenio 1
Gimnasia Mendoza 0
Gimnasia y Tiro 1
Sarmiento Junin 1
Tristan Suarez 0
Boca Juniors 2
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0
River Plate 1
Ciudad Bolivar 0
Aldosivi 3
San Miguel 0
Ind. Rivadavia 2
CA Estudiantes 0
Tigre 2
Claypole 0
Talleres Cordoba 2
Argentino de Merlo 0
Atl. Tucuman 2
Sportivo Barracas 1
Union de Santa Fe 2
Agropecuario 0
Independiente 4
Biblioteca Atenas 2
Platense 1
Argentino MM 0
San Martin S.J. 2
Deportivo Madryn 0
Instituto 2
Atletico Atlanta 0
Lanus 4
Sarmiento de La Banda 1
Estudiantes L.P. 4
Ituzaingo 0
Rosario Central 2
Sportivo Belgrano 0
Barracas Central 3
Temperley 2
Huracan 2
Olimpo Bahia Blanca 1
1/16-finals
San Lorenzo 1
Deportivo Riestra 2
Acassuso 0
Gimnasia L.P. 3
Banfield 2
San Martin T. 1
Deportivo Moron 1
Midland 2
Racing Club 4
Defensa y Justicia 1
Gimnasia Jujuy 2
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 3
Velez Sarsfield 2
Gimnasia y Tiro 0
Sarmiento Junin 0
Boca Juniors 2
River Plate 1
Aldosivi 3
Ind. Rivadavia 1
Tigre 0
Talleres Cordoba 0
Atl. Tucuman 3
Union de Santa Fe 0
Independiente 2
Platense 1
San Martin S.J. 0
Instituto 2
Lanus 1
Estudiantes L.P. 3
Rosario Central 0
Barracas Central 1
Huracan 0
1/8-finals
Deportivo Riestra -
Gimnasia L.P. -
Banfield -
Midland -
Racing Club -
CA Belgrano de Cordoba -
Velez Sarsfield -
Boca Juniors -
Aldosivi -
Ind. Rivadavia -
Atl. Tucuman -
Independiente -
Platense -
Instituto -
Estudiantes L.P. -
Barracas Central -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
