Sport Picks
Instituto vs San Lorenzo
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Presidente Peron, Cordoba 
Match Events
39'
39'
Cordoba Mosquera J. E.
50'
50'
Perruzzi I.
53'
53'
Cerato G.
Assist: Gallardo M.
AI Match Summary
Instituto in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Instituto.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Instituto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Lorenzo haven't matched Instituto's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Instituto taking it.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Instituto Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Instituto | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 12 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Instituto
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Instituto
1:0
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs San Lorenzo
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga Profesional
Instituto vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Instituto Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerato G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Instituto 77 / 100
San Lorenzo 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Instituto San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Instituto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Instituto scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Instituto went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Instituto VS San Lorenzo
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Instituto
(Home) 20 Sept
Instituto
3 : 1 Talleres Cordoba
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
08 Sept
Union de Santa Fe
3 : 2 Instituto
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
28 Aug
Platense
2 : 1 Instituto
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Instituto
3 : 1 Talleres Cordoba
15 Sept
Instituto
2 : 1 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
09 Aug
Instituto
1 : 0 Gimnasia Mendoza
30 Jul
Instituto
2 : 1 Platense
Page 1 of 3
San Lorenzo
(Away) 20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 2 Boca Juniors
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 0 Talleres Cordoba
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Independiente
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
01 Sept
Instituto
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
21 Aug
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 0 San Lorenzo
04 Aug
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
26 Jul
Lanus
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 15:9 | 20 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Boca Juniors | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 6 | Independiente | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Lanus | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Newells Old Boys | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Union de Santa Fe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 10 | San Lorenzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Estudiantes L.P. | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 12 | Deportivo Riestra | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 13 | Platense | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:13 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 18 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 18 |
| 3 | Ind. Rivadavia | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:15 | 17 |
| 5 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Huracan | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 16 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl. Tucuman | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 10 | Tigre | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 12 |
| 11 | Barracas Central | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5:7 | 12 |
| 12 | Banfield | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Aldosivi | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:16 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
