Sport Picks
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
Colombia
Primera A Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
38'
38'
Munoz J.
50'
50'
Moncada D.
56'
56'
Sub
Caballero J. In: Bone F.
Out: Caballero J.
AI Match Summary
Inter Bogotá in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Bogotá.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Inter Bogotá
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Alianza haven't matched Inter Bogotá's recent run of results.
- Inter Bogotá are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 20%
Alianza Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Inter Bogotá | Alianza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 26 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
2:1
Oct 24, 2025 Primera A
Alianza vs Inter Bogotá
2:0
May 3, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
0:2
Nov 2, 2024 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Alianza
3:2
Apr 15, 2024 Primera A
Alianza vs Inter Bogotá
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Inter Bogotá Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanguinetti F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Poveda I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34
Alianza Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Inter Bogotá 42 / 100
Alianza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Inter Bogotá Alianza
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Inter Bogotá's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 25 recent games.
Defensive concern: Alianza conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Inter Bogotá stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Inter Bogotá VS Alianza
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Inter Bogotá
(Home) 19 Aug
Cucuta
1 : 1 Inter Bogotá
08 Aug
Deportes Tolima
2 : 1 Inter Bogotá
05 Aug
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
29 Jul
Inter Palmira
1 : 2 Inter Bogotá
26 Jul
Inter Bogotá
0 : 2 America De Cali
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05 Aug
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0 Jaguares de Cordoba
26 Jul
Inter Bogotá
0 : 2 America De Cali
21 Jul
Inter Bogotá
1 : 0 Inter Palmira
09 May
Inter Bogotá
1 : 2 Atl. Nacional
27 Apr
Inter Bogotá
4 : 0 Chico
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Alianza
(Away) 22 Aug
Alianza
0 : 0 Dep. Pereira
09 Aug
Alianza
2 : 3 Bucaramanga
01 Aug
Alianza
1 : 2 Deportes Tolima
26 Jul
Alianza
1 : 1 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
24 May
Alianza
2 : 1 Bucaramanga
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21 May
Dep. Cali
1 : 0 Alianza
08 May
Boca Juniors de Cali
1 : 1 Alianza
26 Apr
Llaneros
0 : 0 Alianza
13 Apr
Inter Bogotá
2 : 1 Alianza
06 Apr
Dep. Pereira
2 : 3 Alianza
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Inter Bogotá | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Ind. Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Aguilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Dep. Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | 10 |
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)
