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Inter de Sainte-Anne vs Morne des Esses - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inter de Sainte-Anne host Morne des Esses in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. Inter de Sainte-Anne go into this one as the clear favorite. Inter de Sainte-Anne have averaged 1.29 scored and 1.11 conceded recently, against Morne des Esses's 1.14 scored and 1.61 conceded. Past meetings favor Inter de Sainte-Anne slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Inter de Sainte-Anne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Inter de Sainte-Anne
15%
Draws
24%
Morne des Esses
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter de Sainte-Anne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Inter de Sainte-Anne lately — more wins on the board than Morne des Esses.
  • Model gives Inter de Sainte-Anne a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Inter de Sainte-Anne Clean Sheet 20%
Morne des Esses Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter de Sainte-Anne Morne des Esses
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Morne des Esses vs Inter de Sainte-Anne
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Inter de Sainte-Anne vs Morne des Esses
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter de Sainte-Anne 85 / 100
Morne des Esses 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter de Sainte-Anne Morne des Esses

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter de Sainte-Anne Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Inter de Sainte-Anne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Inter de Sainte-Anne's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Morne des Esses conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Morne des Esses lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter de Sainte-Anne VS Morne des Esses
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter de Sainte-Anne

(Home)
12 Sept
Inter de Sainte-Anne
1 : 0
Golden Star
05 Sept
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
06 Jun
Inter de Sainte-Anne
3 : 0
Trenelle
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 6

Morne des Esses

(Away)
12 Sept
RC Lorrain
2 : 3
Morne des Esses
05 Sept
Morne des Esses
1 : 3
RC Saint Joseph
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Morne des Esses
4 : 1
Golden Star
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)