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Inter Escaldes vs Esperanca Prediction & H2H Stats

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2025/2026 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Silva de Sousa T.
56'
Sub
Alonso V. In: Camara J.
Out: Alonso V.
56'
Sub
Gomez A. In: Linares M.
Out: Gomez A.

AI Match Summary

Inter Escaldes in this Primera Divisió 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Escaldes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Inter Escaldes
20%
Draws
35%
Esperanca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inter Escaldes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Escaldes have won more games recently than Esperanca.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Inter Escaldes Clean Sheet 68%
Esperanca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Escaldes Esperanca
Matches Played 36 28
Wins 22 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.40 2.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Inter Escaldes
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Esperanca
0:2
Dec 21, 2025 Primera Divisió
Inter Escaldes vs Esperanca
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Inter Escaldes
1:2
Apr 13, 2025 Primera Divisió
Esperanca vs Inter Escaldes
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Escaldes Compare

Top Goalscorer Linares M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jaouad E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7

Esperanca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Escaldes 41 / 100
Esperanca 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Escaldes Esperanca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Escaldes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Escaldes's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Inter Escaldes has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Esperanca has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Escaldes VS Esperanca
1.63 Goals Scored 2.33
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Escaldes

(Home)
20 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
FC Rangers
13 Sept
Inter Escaldes
3 : 0
Carroi
09 Sept
Inter Escaldes
2 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 Aug
Inter Escaldes
1 : 0
Drita
Page 1 of 8

Esperanca

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
FC Rangers
2 : 1
Esperanca
06 Sept
Esperanca
2 : 2
Inter Escaldes
27 May
Esperanca
2 : 0
Sporting Escaldes
23 May
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 3
Esperanca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Escaldes 24 17 3 4 47:24 54
2 UE Santa Coloma 24 14 6 4 42:16 48
3 FC Rangers 24 15 3 6 46:22 48
4 FC Santa Coloma 24 13 5 6 45:20 44
5 Atletic Escaldes 24 10 4 10 31:26 34
6 Penya 24 7 3 14 19:41 24
7 Ordino 24 6 4 14 27:42 22
8 Carroi 24 4 5 15 15:55 17
9 Esperanca 24 3 5 16 18:44 14
10 Pas de la Casa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2025/2026 (Relegation)